Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs Dowd 49.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 79.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 52.2%
Neutral zone
Glendening 66.1%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Glendening
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Glendening
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
0
Glendening
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Glendening
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
51.7% (644)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (141)
41.6% (221)
+5.2%
On power play, Glendening has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Glendening is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Glendening shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Glendening
Dowd
Home
46.9% (241)
48.6% (451)
Away
56.2% (308)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Glendening
Dowd
P1
50.6%
49.1%
P2
51.8%
47.3%
P3
52.9%
51.4%
OT
83.3%
30.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |