Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Glendening wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Glendening 53.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Glendening
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Glendening
Dowd
Last 10: Glendening 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
10
1
Glendening
Dowd
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
10
Glendening
Dowd
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
8
Glendening
Dowd
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,770)
52.4% (6,009)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
56.1% (164)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,498)
44.1% (1,635)
+4.5%
On even strength, Glendening has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,219).
Glendening shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Glendening
Dowd
Home
55.4% (5,255)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
55.9% (5,208)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Glendening
Dowd
P1
56.1%
51.7%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
56.5%
50.3%
OT
48.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |