Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Roy 47.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.8%
Defensive zone
Glendening 63.0%
Neutral zone
Glendening 50.3%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Glendening
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Glendening
Roy
Last 6: Glendening 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
0
Glendening
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Glendening
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Glendening
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
48.6% (679)
+10.0%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
48.0% (50)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
34.7% (49)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Glendening shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Glendening
Roy
Home
54.3% (468)
49.3% (345)
Away
60.0% (413)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Glendening
Roy
P1
58.2%
47.6%
P2
57.6%
47.1%
P3
56.0%
47.9%
OT
16.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |