Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.2%). Glendening wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.7%
Neutral zone
Glendening 52.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Glendening
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Glendening
Roy
Last 6: Glendening 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Glendening
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
51.9% (547)
+1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
54.1% (37)
+45.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (141)
53.3% (92)
-6.5%
On power play, Glendening has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Glendening is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Glendening shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Glendening
Roy
Home
46.9% (241)
54.0% (328)
Away
56.2% (308)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Glendening
Roy
P1
50.6%
53.5%
P2
51.8%
51.6%
P3
52.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |