Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Glendening wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Aho 46.4% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 91.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 67.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 70.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Glendening
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Glendening
Aho
Last 9: Glendening 3-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
Glendening
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
1
Glendening
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (509)
46.2% (744)
+12.3%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
44.6% (112)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (164)
45.5% (33)
+3.9%
On even strength, Glendening has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Glendening shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Glendening
Aho
Home
53.8% (342)
46.7% (445)
Away
58.4% (358)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Glendening
Aho
P1
55.7%
48.1%
P2
52.8%
44.9%
P3
59.5%
45.8%
OT
71.4%
12.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |