Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Glendening wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Aho 53.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 87.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 78.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Glendening
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Glendening
Aho
Last 6: Glendening 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Glendening
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
51.2% (785)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
63.8% (213)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
57.9% (57)
-9.5%
On power play, Aho has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Glendening shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Glendening
Aho
Home
55.4% (469)
54.9% (548)
Away
56.6% (479)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Glendening
Aho
P1
53.5%
52.8%
P2
57.0%
58.9%
P3
58.0%
50.6%
OT
22.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |