Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Glendening wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Aho 54.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 75.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 90.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 62.1%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Glendening
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Glendening
Aho
Last 10: Glendening 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Glendening
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
0
Glendening
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
54.5% (870)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
62.4% (266)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
37.1% (62)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Glendening shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Glendening
Aho
Home
54.3% (468)
53.9% (603)
Away
60.0% (413)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Glendening
Aho
P1
58.2%
54.1%
P2
57.6%
55.0%
P3
56.0%
57.4%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |