Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 64.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 63.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Kunin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kunin
Foligno
Last 5: Kunin 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kunin
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
4
0
Kunin
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
48.7% (495)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
56.9% (65)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
43.8% (144)
+4.0%
On power play, Foligno has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Kunin shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Kunin
Foligno
Home
45.9% (194)
49.6% (359)
Away
48.0% (204)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Kunin
Foligno
P1
43.2%
46.7%
P2
46.3%
52.7%
P3
52.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |