Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 75.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 59.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Kunin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Kunin
Foligno
Last 10: Kunin 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
4
Kunin
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
5
1
Kunin
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
48.3% (2,810)
-1.2%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
52.3% (730)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
44.0% (455)
-3.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Kunin
Foligno
Home
45.5% (1,048)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Kunin
Foligno
P1
47.9%
47.6%
P2
45.7%
50.4%
P3
43.9%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |