Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Kelly 43.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 73.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 57.4%
Neutral zone
Kunin 57.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Kunin
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kunin
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
44.8% (556)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
36.8% (144)
+11.0%
On power play, Kunin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Kunin shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Kunin
Kelly
Home
45.9% (194)
44.8% (368)
Away
48.0% (204)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Kunin
Kelly
P1
43.2%
46.7%
P2
46.3%
48.0%
P3
52.1%
34.8%
Final 5 min
40.4%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |