Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kunin 63.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 54.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Kunin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
55.4% (826)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.9% (221)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
50.4% (129)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kunin
O'Reilly
Home
51.7% (151)
55.8% (579)
Away
51.2% (172)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Kunin
O'Reilly
P1
55.1%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
54.8%
P3
43.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |