Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.7% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 56.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Kunin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (201)
54.6% (669)
-2.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.3% (171)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
56.3% (87)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Kunin shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Kunin
O'Reilly
Home
52.9% (121)
56.4% (486)
Away
49.2% (128)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Kunin
O'Reilly
P1
53.1%
55.3%
P2
54.4%
53.4%
P3
44.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
42.0%▼
52.5%
51.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |