Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.4% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 69.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 76.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 53.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Kunin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kunin
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kunin
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (366)
55.0% (1,084)
-6.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
56.8% (303)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (88)
40.3% (149)
-5.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Kunin shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Kunin
O'Reilly
Home
45.7% (245)
54.8% (759)
Away
45.5% (235)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kunin
O'Reilly
P1
46.5%
55.3%
P2
45.0%
51.9%
P3
44.9%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
41.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |