Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kunin wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 63.9%
Defensive zone
Kunin 93.4%
Neutral zone
Kunin 77.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Kunin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Kunin
Hertl
Last 6: Kunin 0-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Kunin
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kunin
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kunin
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
54.1% (717)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
61.9% (210)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
58.1% (31)
-10.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Kunin shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Kunin
Hertl
Home
45.9% (194)
58.1% (492)
Away
48.0% (204)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kunin
Hertl
P1
43.2%
57.1%
P2
46.3%
54.0%
P3
52.1%
56.6%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |