Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Hertl 54.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 62.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 80.6%
Neutral zone
Kunin 72.1%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Kunin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Kunin
Hertl
Last 10: Kunin 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kunin
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Kunin
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kunin
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
53.8% (8,268)
-6.7%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
59.3% (1,975)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
46.3% (806)
-6.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Kunin
Hertl
Home
45.5% (1,048)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Kunin
Hertl
P1
47.9%
53.6%
P2
45.7%
54.1%
P3
43.9%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |