Macklin Celebrini vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 62.4%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 68.5%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 60.6%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Last 7: Celebrini 4-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
3
Celebrini
Buchnevich
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
40.5% (190)
+7.3%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
42.9% (14)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
30.0% (10)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Home
48.5% (538)
40.7% (118)
Away
48.7% (591)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Celebrini
Buchnevich
P1
48.1%
42.3%
P2
46.8%
37.5%
P3
51.0%
40.3%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |