Macklin Celebrini vs Pavel Buchnevich

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Macklin Celebrini holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Celebrini 48.5% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+13.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Celebrini 80.9%
Defensive zone Celebrini 81.8%
Neutral zone Celebrini 81.7%
Result Macklin Celebrini favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Celebrini Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
Celebrini Buchnevich
Last 8: Celebrini 5-3 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
3
Celebrini Buchnevich
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
0
Celebrini Buchnevich
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,894)
34.5% (931)
+13.0%
Power Play
54.4% (250)
44.2% (52)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
24.3% (37)
+31.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +31.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Celebrini shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Home
48.0% (1,091)
35.6% (517)
Away
48.9% (1,089)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Celebrini
Buchnevich
P1
47.4%
35.2%
P2
46.6%
34.8%
P3
51.4%
33.4%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
38.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%
44.5%
48.4%
Buchnevich
48.0%
41.0%
34.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 30, 2026 3 03:45 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 30, 2026 3 00:59 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 26, 2026 3 02:22 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 26, 2026 2 14:48 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 26, 2026 2 09:06 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 6, 2026 2 07:54 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 6, 2026 2 01:15 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 10, 2024 3 06:52 Defensive Macklin Celebrini