Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
47.6% (231)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
83.3% (12)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
33.3% (21)
+22.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.8% (523)
51.2% (164)
Away
49.8% (534)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
47.4%
46.2%
P3
51.1%
49.5%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |