Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 69.6%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 50.4%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 62.5%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Celebrini 9-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
6
1
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
6
5
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,825)
44.9% (8,756)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.8% (247)
50.7% (839)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
37.9% (879)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Celebrini shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.7% (1,076)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
49.4% (1,032)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.2%
45.1%
P2
46.9%
43.9%
P3
51.5%
45.3%
OT
47.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |