Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 68.9%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 67.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 66.7%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Last 10: Celebrini 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
0
Celebrini
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Celebrini
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Celebrini
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
56.2% (983)
-9.0%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
55.5% (254)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
52.0% (102)
+2.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Home
47.6% (553)
56.2% (697)
Away
49.0% (498)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Celebrini
O'Reilly
P1
46.6%
54.5%
P2
46.4%
55.5%
P3
51.8%
57.1%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |