Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 72.9%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 76.7%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 76.5%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
1
Celebrini
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
6
Celebrini
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Celebrini
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,894)
56.2% (15,290)
-8.7%
Power Play
54.4% (250)
58.7% (3,457)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
51.4% (2,826)
+4.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Celebrini shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Celebrini
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (1,091)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
48.9% (1,089)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Celebrini
O'Reilly
P1
47.4%
55.6%
P2
46.6%
57.0%
P3
51.4%
55.0%
OT
47.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |