Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Poehling 50.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 74.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 72.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Celebrini
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Celebrini
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Celebrini
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
52.6% (622)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
58.3% (12)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
39.8% (103)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Poehling
Home
47.6% (553)
53.2% (393)
Away
49.0% (498)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Celebrini
Poehling
P1
46.6%
50.9%
P2
46.4%
56.2%
P3
51.8%
46.1%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |