Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Poehling 47.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 81.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 72.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.1%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Celebrini
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Celebrini
Poehling
Last 5: Celebrini 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Celebrini
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Celebrini
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
49.8% (626)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
58.3% (12)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
38.2% (207)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Poehling
Home
47.8% (523)
47.3% (404)
Away
49.8% (534)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Celebrini
Poehling
P1
47.8%
53.5%
P2
47.4%
39.4%
P3
51.1%
49.1%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |