Macklin Celebrini vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 68.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 65.2%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 56.6%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Celebrini
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Celebrini
Karlsson
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Celebrini
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Celebrini
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,139)
58.5% (135)
-10.8%
Power Play
55.5% (119)
80.0% (5)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
44.4% (18)
+14.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Celebrini is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Celebrini shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Karlsson
Home
49.1% (645)
63.7% (91)
Away
48.1% (640)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Celebrini
Karlsson
P1
47.4%
54.4%
P2
46.9%
66.7%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |