Macklin Celebrini vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 59.0%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 58.3%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 58.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Celebrini
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Celebrini
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Celebrini
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Celebrini
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
58.6% (597)
-11.4%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
57.9% (57)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
51.9% (52)
+2.6%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Karlsson
Home
47.6% (553)
59.6% (344)
Away
49.0% (498)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Celebrini
Karlsson
P1
46.6%
53.1%
P2
46.4%
62.1%
P3
51.8%
60.1%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |