Macklin Celebrini vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 64.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 53.5%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Celebrini
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Celebrini
Karlsson
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Celebrini
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
2
Celebrini
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Celebrini
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,825)
51.8% (7,849)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.8% (247)
54.8% (1,048)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
44.2% (1,109)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Celebrini shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Karlsson
Home
47.7% (1,076)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
49.4% (1,032)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Celebrini
Karlsson
P1
47.2%
50.3%
P2
46.9%
51.3%
P3
51.5%
52.4%
OT
47.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |