Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 44.5%). Khusnutdinov wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 47.8% vs Cates 45.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 62.2%
Neutral zone
Khusnutdinov 51.5%
Result
Marat Khusnutdinov favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (76)
44.2% (566)
-2.1%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
44.0% (84)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (38)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Khusnutdinov has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Cates is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Home
48.7% (39)
45.1% (350)
Away
41.9% (43)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Cates
P1
44.8%
46.8%
P2
58.6%
46.5%
P3
29.2%
40.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
44.0%▲
40.0%
45.1%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |