Scouting Report
Marat Khusnutdinov holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Khusnutdinov wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 48.3% vs Cates 45.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 61.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (101)
45.4% (712)
-1.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
42.2% (102)
+37.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Khusnutdinov has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Home
48.8% (41)
46.3% (423)
Away
45.6% (68)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Cates
P1
47.6%
46.3%
P2
57.1%
47.1%
P3
34.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
37.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▬
41.0%
46.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |