Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Jankowski 53.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 64.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 51.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 64.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Kasper
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kasper
Jankowski
Last 8: Kasper 5-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Kasper
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
53.8% (515)
-2.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
41.7% (12)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
57.9% (38)
-26.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Kasper
Jankowski
Home
51.1% (184)
53.9% (310)
Away
48.5% (194)
53.7% (255)
By Period
Kasper
Jankowski
P1
53.8%
54.4%
P2
52.2%
55.7%
P3
42.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |