Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Jankowski 50.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 57.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 76.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 64.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Kasper
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
51.3% (347)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
72.7% (11)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
44.0% (75)
-14.6%
On power play, Jankowski has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Kasper
Jankowski
Home
47.9% (280)
46.8% (188)
Away
42.5% (346)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Kasper
Jankowski
P1
45.8%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
38.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
40.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |