Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 60.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 80.1%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 70.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Kasper
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kasper
Jankowski
Last 9: Kasper 6-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Kasper
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
0
Kasper
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
51.5% (3,462)
-4.5%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
53.7% (95)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
42.8% (528)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Kasper
Jankowski
Home
49.1% (464)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
44.2% (548)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Kasper
Jankowski
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
51.0%
51.2%
P3
39.9%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |