Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 48.9%). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs McTavish 49.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kasper 59.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kasper
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
McTavish
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kasper
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
47.6% (616)
+3.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
57.8% (102)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
33.3% (6)
-1.7%
On power play, McTavish has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Kasper
McTavish
Home
51.1% (184)
52.2% (389)
Away
48.5% (194)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Kasper
McTavish
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
52.2%
47.9%
P3
42.6%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |