Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 56.0%
Defensive zone
Kasper 59.9%
Neutral zone
Kasper 55.8%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Kasper
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
McTavish
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kasper
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
48.2% (2,788)
-1.2%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
52.6% (435)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
34.3% (35)
-3.7%
On power play, McTavish has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Kasper
McTavish
Home
49.1% (464)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
44.2% (548)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Kasper
McTavish
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
51.0%
47.8%
P3
39.9%
48.4%
OT
66.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |