Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs McCarron 54.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 75.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kasper 53.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Kasper
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kasper
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Kasper
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
54.2% (756)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
55.6% (9)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
55.1% (158)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kasper is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Kasper shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Kasper
McCarron
Home
47.9% (280)
54.6% (445)
Away
42.5% (346)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Kasper
McCarron
P1
45.8%
53.6%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
38.4%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |