Marco Kasper vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs McCarron 52.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kasper 58.9%
Neutral zone
Kasper 72.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Kasper
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kasper
McCarron
Last 8: Kasper 1-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Kasper
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
5
Kasper
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
53.4% (2,901)
-6.4%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
45.3% (86)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
50.5% (463)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kasper is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kasper shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Kasper
McCarron
Home
49.1% (464)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.2% (548)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Kasper
McCarron
P1
47.8%
53.9%
P2
51.0%
52.5%
P3
39.9%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |