Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Kelly 39.9% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 84.6%
Defensive zone
Kasper 79.7%
Neutral zone
Kasper 69.8%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Kasper
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (284)
32.5% (123)
+18.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
33.3% (9)
-4.7%
On power play, Kasper has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kasper is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Kasper shoots left. Kelly is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kelly
Home
51.6% (157)
31.7% (60)
Away
48.2% (141)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Kasper
Kelly
P1
55.3%
26.9%
P2
53.2%
34.3%
P3
40.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
32.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |