Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.6% vs Kelly 41.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Kasper
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Kasper
Kelly
Last 7: Kasper 7-0 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
0
Kasper
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (878)
41.6% (722)
+5.1%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
0.0% (3)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
29.2% (24)
36.5% (170)
-7.3%
On power play, Kasper has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kasper is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kasper shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kelly
Home
49.2% (437)
42.2% (457)
Away
43.6% (495)
38.6% (438)
By Period
Kasper
Kelly
P1
47.8%
41.5%
P2
51.2%
44.9%
P3
38.9%
35.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
46.2%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |