Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Kelly 41.6% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kasper 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kasper 61.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Kasper
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
36.3% (157)
+14.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
45.5% (11)
-13.9%
On power play, Kasper has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kelly
Home
51.1% (184)
35.9% (78)
Away
48.5% (194)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Kasper
Kelly
P1
53.8%
34.3%
P2
52.2%
36.0%
P3
42.6%
40.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |