Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Holmberg 46.2% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kasper 76.5%
Neutral zone
Kasper 59.4%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Kasper
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (284)
35.7% (42)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
100.0% (1)
-71.4%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Kasper is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Kasper shoots left. Holmberg is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Kasper
Holmberg
Home
51.6% (157)
33.3% (27)
Away
48.2% (141)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Kasper
Holmberg
P1
55.3%
69.2%
P2
53.2%
17.6%
P3
40.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
38.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |