Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Holmberg 49.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 58.3%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 55.1%
Neutral zone
Kasper 52.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kasper
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kasper
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Holmberg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Holmberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
49.0% (245)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
33.3% (3)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
48.6% (37)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Kasper
Holmberg
Home
47.9% (280)
50.3% (147)
Away
42.5% (346)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Kasper
Holmberg
P1
45.8%
59.2%
P2
50.0%
40.0%
P3
38.4%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |