Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Holmberg 46.6% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kasper 75.2%
Neutral zone
Kasper 58.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Kasper
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
39.1% (46)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
50.0% (2)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Holmberg is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Kasper
Holmberg
Home
51.1% (184)
37.5% (32)
Away
48.5% (194)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Kasper
Holmberg
P1
53.8%
71.4%
P2
52.2%
21.1%
P3
42.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |