Marco Kasper vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kasper 61.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
47.6% (231)
+3.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
83.3% (12)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
33.3% (21)
-1.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (184)
51.2% (164)
Away
48.5% (194)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
52.2%
46.2%
P3
42.6%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |