Marco Kasper vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kasper 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 51.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
44.9% (8,756)
+2.1%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
50.7% (839)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
37.9% (879)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.1% (464)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
44.2% (548)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.8%
45.1%
P2
51.0%
43.9%
P3
39.9%
45.3%
OT
66.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |