Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 76.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Kasper
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
49.8% (626)
+1.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
38.2% (207)
-6.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Kasper
Poehling
Home
51.1% (184)
47.3% (404)
Away
48.5% (194)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Kasper
Poehling
P1
53.8%
53.5%
P2
52.2%
39.4%
P3
42.6%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |