Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Poehling 50.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kasper 56.4%
Neutral zone
Kasper 70.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Kasper
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
Poehling
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Kasper
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
52.6% (622)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
58.3% (12)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
39.8% (103)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Kasper
Poehling
Home
47.9% (280)
53.2% (393)
Away
42.5% (346)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Kasper
Poehling
P1
45.8%
50.9%
P2
50.0%
56.2%
P3
38.4%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |