Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 72.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 57.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Kasper
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kasper
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kasper
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
55.3% (515)
-10.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
55.6% (9)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
44.8% (58)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kuraly
Home
47.9% (280)
57.3% (293)
Away
42.5% (346)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Kasper
Kuraly
P1
45.8%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
38.4%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |