Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 54.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 77.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Kasper
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kasper
Kuraly
Last 10: Kasper 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
5
1
Kasper
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Kasper
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
51.5% (5,141)
-4.5%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
56.0% (100)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
44.2% (1,086)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kuraly
Home
49.1% (464)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.2% (548)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Kasper
Kuraly
P1
47.8%
51.1%
P2
51.0%
49.9%
P3
39.9%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |