Marco Kasper vs Tomas Hertl

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kasper 49.8% vs Hertl 57.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor Hertl leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Kasper 71.7%
Defensive zone Kasper 90.0%
Neutral zone Kasper 77.6%
Result Marco Kasper favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Kasper Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0 - 10 (10 meetings)
0
10
Kasper Hertl
Last 10: Kasper 0-10 Hertl

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Kasper Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Kasper Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Kasper Hertl
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kasper
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
58.0% (816)
-6.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.5% (260)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
62.9% (35)
-31.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Kasper
Hertl
Home
51.1% (184)
59.7% (561)
Away
48.5% (194)
55.8% (550)
By Period
Kasper
Hertl
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
52.2%
64.1%
P3
42.6%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
58.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%
52.5%
49.7%
Hertl
54.0%
58.0%
57.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 4, 2026 1 05:18 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 4, 2026 1 01:50 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 3 12:07 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 3 11:49 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 2 17:57 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 2 00:59 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 2 00:46 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 1 19:31 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 1 03:29 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 1 00:23 Neutral Tomas Hertl