Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Rossi 45.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 56.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 93.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Eller
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Rossi
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Rossi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
44.5% (701)
+8.3%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
56.1% (41)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
0.0% (7)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Eller
Rossi
Home
54.5% (448)
46.8% (385)
Away
50.2% (484)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Eller
Rossi
P1
52.8%
42.8%
P2
50.9%
43.9%
P3
53.4%
47.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |