Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Beniers 49.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 56.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 53.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Rossi
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Rossi
Beniers
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Rossi
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
5
Rossi
Beniers
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
48.9% (833)
+3.9%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
58.3% (36)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (32)
-13.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Rossi
Beniers
Home
50.0% (242)
52.4% (460)
Away
51.1% (221)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Rossi
Beniers
P1
54.9%
48.4%
P2
48.7%
51.1%
P3
47.9%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |