Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.6%). Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Beniers 46.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Rossi
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Rossi
Beniers
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
5
4
Rossi
Beniers
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Rossi
Beniers
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
7
Rossi
Beniers
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
46.6% (3,796)
+0.4%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
47.8% (360)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
41.4% (111)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Home / Away
Rossi
Beniers
Home
47.8% (1,207)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Rossi
Beniers
P1
47.3%
47.4%
P2
44.8%
47.1%
P3
48.3%
45.7%
OT
45.8%
34.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |